XAUUSD 纽约开盘突破倒卖系统 (XAUUSD NY Open Range Breakout Scalping S)

(What actually works in 2025-2026 – No hype, pure math)
Hey guys,
After testing dozens of ORB variations on XAUUSD M1, I finally locked in this exact filter set that consistently gives me 58-68% win rate with average 2.2R+ per trade when using the 50/30/20 scale-out.

This is the complete system I run live every day. Built from real screenshots, backtested logic and live chart analysis.

### CORE RULES (must be the FIRST valid candle only)
1. Draw NY Open Range (09:30–09:34/09:35 High & Low)
→ Range size must be the 1st 5minute of NY Open
2. Valid Breakout Candle (all 4 must pass):
- Close clearly outside the range
- Body ≥ 0.8 × ATR(5) (example: ATR 3.53 → min body 2.824)
- Body ≥ 60% of total candle (small wicks only – rejection candles = skip)
- Candle closes between 09:30–09:45 NY time
3. Entry
- Long: Break & close above valid candle high
- Short: Break & close below valid candle low
4. Stop Loss
- SL = opposite side of the valid breakout candle (aggressive)
5. HUGE TP Scale-Out (this is the money maker)
- 50% close at 1.5R → move SL to BE
- 30% close at 2.5R → move SL to +0.5R
- 20% let it run with trailing SL (0.8 ATR or previous swing)
- Final targets: previous day liquidity, round numbers or 4R+



### Quick Summary Workflow (memorize this)
1. Draw NY Open Range
2. Check candle: Close outside + Body ≥ 0.8 ATR
3. Enter on breakout or next candle break
4. SL = opposite side of breakout candle
5. TP = 1.5–2× range / ATR / liquidity
6. Only trade FIRST valid candle (ignore all weak or second breakouts)
7. Split TP for maximum profit

### Important Filters
- Avoid trading after 09:45 NY (fakeout risk explodes)
- Only the first valid candle in the session – second attempts are usually traps
- If first candle body < 0.8 ATR or wick >40% → wait for next valid one
- volume must surpass last Candle
- close 1/2(at least half ATR) outside Range

### Results so far (live + backtest)
- Win rate: 61% on filtered setups
- Average RR with scale-out: 2.3R
- Max runner days: 6.8R
- Best on strong momentum days

I trade this every single NY open. No repainting, no fancy indicators – just price, ATR and strict rules.
Questions, live trade screenshots, or want the PDF? Drop comment.
Let’s keep it clean – only serious traders.
Good luck and trade the first valid only!

Read my original thread: https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...ork-open-range

Note: I evolved with the strategy. This thread and the model described is the simplest yet profitable version.